Daily Model Report

Thursday, March 12, 2026

Chalk runs an eight-model ensemble on live NCAA basketball and NBA games. When the model disagrees with the live halftime market, a signal fires. This page is every signal from Thursday, March 12, 2026 and how each game settled.

Signals Watched

44

7 actionable, 37 no-bet

Bet Record

5-2

71.4% ATS

Season Record

179-165

since 2025-11-01

Season ATS

52%

344 settled

Most signals don't meet the bet threshold. We publish them all anyway — the full ledger, not the highlight reel.

Signals (44)

CBBMTSU 25@LT 39
NO BET
edge 13.0 pts
CBBWAKE 23@CLEM 41
NO BET
edge 10.1 pts
CBBTAR 25@ACU 39
NO BET
edge 9.0 pts
CBBCAL 32@FSU 46
NO BET
edge 9.0 pts
no line data
CBBFSU 44@DUKE 43
NO BET
edge 8.1 pts
CBBUCSB 31@UCD 34
NO BET
edge 8.0 pts
CBBPROV 27@SJU 48
NO BET
edge 7.1 pts
CBBNU 21@PUR 45
NO BET
edge 7.1 pts
no line data
CBBUNLV 23@USU 37
NO BET
edge 6.0 pts
CBBISU 36@TTU 33
NO BET
edge 5.9 pts
CBBIDHO 30@MONT 31
NO BET
edge 4.9 pts
no line data
CBBCP 35@UCSD 26
WIN
edge 4.6 pts
no line data
CBBMISS 34@UGA 20
WIN
edge 4.6 pts
no line data
CBBSCST 39@NORF 30
LOSS
edge 4.6 pts
CBBIOWA 30@OSU 34
NO BET
edge 4.3 pts
no line data
CBBAAMU 27@TXSO 31
NO BET
edge 4.3 pts
no line data
CBBUCF 30@ARIZ 46
NO BET
edge 4.1 pts
no line data
CBBFRES 32@CSU 27
NO BET
edge 4.1 pts
CBBBYU 41@HOU 37
NO BET
edge 4.1 pts
CBBCREI 26@HALL 33
NO BET
edge 3.6 pts
CBBSBU 24@GMU 34
NO BET
edge 3.6 pts
CBBNEV 34@GCU 40
NO BET
edge 3.6 pts
CBBURI 28@DUQ 35
NO BET
edge 3.6 pts
CBBOKST 46@TCU 43
NO BET
edge 3.1 pts
CBBGTWN 21@DEP 24
NO BET
edge 3.0 pts
CBBTULN 39@MEM 31
LOSS
edge 2.6 pts
CBBNMSU 26@SHSU 37
NO BET
edge 2.6 pts
no line data
CBBSC 42@OU 42
NO BET
edge 2.1 pts
CBBTEM 27@FAU 29
NO BET
edge 1.9 pts
no line data
CBBBUF 29@AKR 42
NO BET
edge 1.9 pts
no line data
CBBGW 38@FOR 17
WIN
edge 1.8 pts
CBBAUB 32@TENN 25
WIN
edge 1.8 pts
CBBWASH 33@WIS 43
NO BET
edge 1.6 pts
CBBUK 38@MIZ 29
WIN
edge 1.4 pts
CBBRUTG 29@MINN 31
NO BET
edge 1.1 pts
CBBNCSU 32@UVA 33
NO BET
edge 1.1 pts
CBBJKST 34@FAMU 33
NO BET
edge 1.1 pts
CBBLOU 38@MIA 37
NO BET
edge 0.9 pts
CBBOHIO 38@KENT 40
NO BET
edge 0.9 pts
CBBBGSU 38@TOL 37
NO BET
edge 0.9 pts
CBBSJSU 41@BOIS 39
NO BET
edge 0.0 pts
no line data
CBBMASS 37@M-OH 39
NO BET
edge 0.0 pts
no line data
CBBXAV 30@CONN 50
NO BET
edge 0.0 pts
no line data
CBBBU 30@LEH 41
NO BET
edge 0.0 pts
no line data

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