Daily Model Report

Tuesday, March 3, 2026

Chalk runs an eight-model ensemble on live NCAA basketball and NBA games. When the model disagrees with the live halftime market, a signal fires. This page is every signal from Tuesday, March 3, 2026 and how each game settled.

Signals Watched

22

7 actionable, 15 no-bet

Bet Record

3-4

42.9% ATS

Season Record

179-165

since 2025-11-01

Season ATS

52%

344 settled

Most signals don't meet the bet threshold. We publish them all anyway — the full ledger, not the highlight reel.

Signals (22)

CBBIDST 29@SAC 46
NO BET
edge 13.1 pts
no line data
CBBWEB 26@PRST 43
NO BET
edge 10.1 pts
CBBTENN 40@SC 28
LOSS
edge 6.4 pts
no line data
CBBMCN 40@NICH 31
WIN
edge 6.4 pts
CBBSFA 28@UIW 26
NO BET
edge 5.9 pts
CBBLAM 24@HCU 29
NO BET
edge 5.6 pts
CBBDUKE 47@NCSU 30
LOSS
edge 4.8 pts
CBBMTST 36@NAU 25
WIN
edge 3.4 pts
no line data
CBBCOPP 29@HOW 46
NO BET
edge 3.1 pts
CBBGAST 38@UL 36
NO BET
edge 2.9 pts
no line data
CBBNCCU 23@UMES 30
NO BET
edge 2.6 pts
CBBETAM 36@AMCC 37
NO BET
edge 2.1 pts
CBBISU 25@ARIZ 37
NO BET
edge 1.7 pts
CBBBRY 34@UNH 28
WIN
edge 0.9 pts
no line data
CBBMONT 23@UNCO 27
NO BET
edge 0.7 pts
no line data
CBBUML 35@ME 26
LOSS
edge 0.4 pts
no line data
CBBUMBC 46@NJIT 24
LOSS
edge 0.2 pts
no line data
CBBIDHO 34@EWU 30
NO BET
edge 0.1 pts
no line data
CBBSCST 30@DSU 26
NO BET
edge 0.1 pts
no line data
CBBIUIN 36@CLE 45
NO BET
edge 0.0 pts
no line data
CBBSELA 40@UNO 32
NO BET
edge 0.0 pts
no line data
CBBNWST 30@RGV 39
NO BET
edge 0.0 pts
no line data

See the next one live.

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