Daily Model Report

Wednesday, February 18, 2026

Chalk runs an eight-model ensemble on live NCAA basketball and NBA games. When the model disagrees with the live halftime market, a signal fires. This page is every signal from Wednesday, February 18, 2026 and how each game settled.

Signals Watched

30

4 actionable, 26 no-bet

Bet Record

3-1

75% ATS

Season Record

179-165

since 2025-11-01

Season ATS

52%

344 settled

Most signals don't meet the bet threshold. We publish them all anyway — the full ledger, not the highlight reel.

Signals (30)

CBBLAF 33@HC 49
NO BET
edge 12.1 pts
no line data
CBBSLU 37@URI 43
NO BET
edge 11.6 pts
CBBTTU 36@ASU 37
NO BET
edge 8.0 pts
CBBWIS 26@OSU 38
NO BET
edge 7.7 pts
CBBSC 29@FLA 39
NO BET
edge 7.4 pts
CBBUCLA 23@MSU 43
NO BET
edge 7.1 pts
CBBLSU 33@TEX 48
NO BET
edge 7.1 pts
CBBLOU 49@SMU 52
NO BET
edge 7.0 pts
CBBAKR 53@WMU 34
WIN
edge 6.8 pts
CBBTCU 28@UCF 42
NO BET
edge 6.5 pts
CBBBALL 15@OHIO 32
NO BET
edge 6.1 pts
CBBBAY 34@KSU 41
NO BET
edge 5.6 pts
CBBVILL 43@XAV 42
NO BET
edge 4.9 pts
CBBNEB 28@IOWA 33
NO BET
edge 4.6 pts
CBBRUTG 39@PSU 20
LOSS
edge 4.2 pts
no line data
CBBVT 34@MIA 31
NO BET
edge 4.1 pts
no line data
CBBUGA 39@UK 34
NO BET
edge 3.1 pts
CBBAF 33@UNM 55
NO BET
edge 2.9 pts
CBBCMU 27@EMU 35
NO BET
edge 2.6 pts
CBBVMI 32@WOF 44
NO BET
edge 2.3 pts
CBBFRES 40@WYO 42
NO BET
edge 2.1 pts
no line data
CBBKENT 30@BGSU 25
NO BET
edge 1.9 pts
no line data
CBBGCU 29@SDSU 33
NO BET
edge 1.7 pts
CBBNIU 29@BUF 35
NO BET
edge 1.6 pts
CBBGW 46@VCU 48
NO BET
edge 1.1 pts
CBBSEMO 26@UTM 16
WIN
edge 0.6 pts
CBBMINN 22@ORE 17
NO BET
edge 0.1 pts
CBBMICH 48@PUR 32
WIN
edge 0.1 pts
CBBUNC 26@NCSU 42
NO BET
edge 0.0 pts
no line data
CBBM-OH 41@MASS 36
NO BET
edge 0.0 pts
no line data

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